Sunday, 25 December 2016

Pakistan need more than a moral victory

Big Picture
For those who had gotten used to the shock of the new provided by consecutive day-night Tests, the arrival of Boxing Day would hark back to something far more traditional: a morning start, a red ball, a heaving crowd at the MCG and the festive atmosphere of one of cricket's great set-piece occasions. Which of the teams would best rise to it, though?
Australia's players got the fright of their lives when a Gabba Test they had dominated seemed to be slipping away from them, momentarily, via the cultured hands of Asad Shafiq and the Pakistan tail. Mitchell Starc struck in the nick of time to secure the victory, but the physical toll it took on him, Josh Hazlewood and others was clear. In deciding to ignore the allrounder Hilton Cartwright, Australia's selectors have presented the hosts with the chance to seal the series with an unchanged team. Doing so would finish a year of some tribulation with greater optimism than had seemed likely when South Africa were humiliating a rather different-looking team in Hobart. But, the four-bowler combination that Pakistan seemed to get used to by the end of the Gabba Test faced plenty of hard graft before that scenario could unfold.
Pakistan, of course, were widely regarded as the moral victors of a match they seemed certain to lose by a vast margin. Clearly, they finished it far better than they started and enter into the second Test with a lot more confidence than they did the first. One thing that has to change, however, was the balance of the bowling attack and the way in which it was utilised. Australia lost only 15 wickets in Brisbane, and much of the time Misbah-ul-Haq seemed preoccupied with containment rather than wicket-taking. At the MCG, a ground that has been known to favour reverse-swing in the past, there has to be more accent on the positive if Pakistan were to fight their way back into the series.
Form guide
(last five completed matches, most recent first)

 Australia: WWLLL
Pakistan: LLLLW
In the spotlight
Though he felt the roar of a mighty MCG crowd on World Cup Final day in 2015, Mitchell Starc would experience Boxing Day from the middle for the very first time. Last summer he was injured, the summer before dropped, injured again the season before that and controversially rested in 2012 in order to preserve him for later assignments. Starc wasn't happy about it at the time and said so; the irony this time around was that he would be entering the Test under a physical cloud - via the huge volume of overs he ploughed through at the Gabba.
Proud as he was about how Pakistan fought in Brisbane after a grim start, Misbah-ul-Haq was a harried figure at the batting crease, struggling for rhythm and to cope with the extra bounce in the Gabba surface. If Pakistan were to square the series they need a more even contribution down their batting order, and as captain Misbah must take up a large chunk of that responsibility. Well as Shafiq played with the tail in Brisbane, Test matches are generally run through top-order runs made in the first innings.
Teams news
Australia resisted the temptation to include the young allrounder Cartwright as additional bowling cover for the pace trio who bowled so many overs in Brisbane, naming an unchanged side.
Australia 1 Matt Renshaw, 2 David Warner, 3 Usman Khawaja, 4 Steven Smith (capt), 5 Peter Handscomb, 6 Nic Maddinson, 7 Matthew Wade (wk), 8 Mitchell Starc, 9 Josh Hazlewood, 10 Nathan Lyon, 11 Jackson Bird
Imran Khan was under serious consideration to be included for the visitors as a right-arm bowling option, in place of Rahat Ali.
Pakistan (probable) 1 Sami Aslam, 2 Azhar Ali, 3 Babar Azam, 4 Younis Khan, 5 Misbah-ul-Haq (capt), 6 Asad Shafiq, 7 Sarfraz Ahmed (wk), 8 Wahab Riaz, 9 Yasir Shah, 10 Mohammad Amir, 11 Rahat Ali/Imran Khan
Pitch and conditions
David Sandurski, the MCG curator, expected the pitch to offer more to the bowlers than the 2015 surface, which was prepared with less moisture in it out of concern about the weather forecast. This year's was far more favourable.
"I think there might be a little bit more in it this year than last year, that's for sure," he said. "Last year we had 30mm of rain forecast day one, which made us probably err a little bit on the batsmen's side. This year we haven't got that rain forecast, it's just the chance of a shower. It enables us to leave a little bit more in it."
Stats and trivia
  • Pakistan beat Australia at the MCG in 1979 and 1981, but have three losses and a draw in the four Tests they've played at the ground since then, most recently in 2009
  • Younis Khan sat 14th on the list of the most runs made in Tests between the two countries, but a century (or more) would place him comfortably inside the top 10, moving past Mark and Steve Waugh, Michael Slater and Kim Hughes
Quotes
"We won the game. If they can take confidence out of losing … I don't know."
Australia's vice captain David Warner hasn't taken to the view that Pakistan gained a lot from their performance in Brisbane

Bruised New Zealand eye return to winning ways

Big Picture
It may not seem so but New Zealand have a fight on their hands on Boxing Day. In their corner is a very healthy record at home - 21 wins out of 27 matches over the last two years. But against them stands a Bangladesh side which had whitewashed them the last time they met in a bilateral series in 2013. This time the visitors are armed with Mustafizur Rahman, who was named ICC's Emerging Player of the Year.
On the only occasion he bowled against New Zealand, in the World T20 in March, Mustafizur took a five-wicket haul. Bangladesh have had to make do without him for nine months and would welcome his return, although they would be wary of overworking him. Mustafizur had to undergo surgery to his left shoulder in July and was yet to test his bowling and throwing arm in international cricket.
New Zealand should enjoy being back in their own conditions, for on tour they lost to India 2-3 and were then blanked out 3-0 by Australia. They've made a few changes as well and, with the returns of Luke Ronchi and Neil Broom - who hasn't played ODI cricket since 2010 - to complement the mainstays Martin Guptill and Kane Williamson, their aim might be to bat Bangladesh out of the game.
Not that their bowlers are slouches. Trent Boult and Tim Southee are two of the finest quicks in the world, although both are set to be rested later in the tour. Lockie Ferguson and Colin de Grandhomme serve as supporting seamers while Mitchell Santner is the lone spinner, tasked with keeping things tight.
Given their tendency to play spin well, a lot of Bangladesh's focus would be on the hosts' four pacers. So it should help that an opening batsman is in top form. Tamim Iqbal has scored over 1000 in the last two years in ODI cricket, averaging 47 with three centuries and six fifties, and if he established dominance early, not many attacks can cope. There may be a shake-up in the middle order, though. Mahmudullah and Mushfiqur Rahim could be pushed up to tackle the extra pace and movement in Christchurch, while youngster Mosaddek Hossain may be squeezed between Sabbir Rahman and Shakib Al Hasan to look for late runs.
Form guide
(completed matches, most recent first)
New Zealand: LLLLW
Bangladesh: LWLWL
In the spotlight
Martin Guptill was New Zealand's highest run-scorer in ODIs in 2016, and featured among the top-ten overall. He has been a dangerous figure at the top of the order and in his last innings against Bangladesh, in Hamilton, Guptill scored a century.
Much of what Bangladesh achieve in the first ODI would hinge on Mustafizur Rahman, who is likely to make a comeback after a five-month layoff due to surgery on his left shoulder. As a result, Mustafizur's action has undergone a slight change. Given his fast arm-movement has been key to his success, it would be interesting to see how he performs.
Teams news
Neil Broom is likely to take Henry Nicholls' place at No. 4, and Luke Ronchi should replace BJ Watling behind the stumps. Matt Henry and James Neesham face competition from Lockie Ferguson and Colin de Grandhomme for the third seamer and allrounder's positions respectively.
New Zealand (probable) 1 Martin Guptill, 2 Tom Latham, 3 Kane Williamson (capt), 4 Neil Broom, 5 Colin Munro, 6 Luke Ronchi (wk), 7 Colin de Grandhomme, 8 Mitchell Santner, 9 Tim Southee, 10 Matt Henry/ Lockie Ferguson, 11 Trent Boult
Mustafizur proved his match fitness during Bangladesh's warm-up game in Whangarei and is likely to play. Nasir Hossain wasn't in the ODI squad, so a call has to be made to include one of two players - Mehedi Hasan and Tanbir Hayder.
Bangladesh (probable) 1 Tamim Iqbal, 2 Imrul Kayes, 3 Sabbir Rahman, 4 Mushfiqur Rahim (wk), 5 Shakib Al Hasan, 6 Mahmudullah, 7 Mosaddek Hossain, 8 Tanbir Hayder/Mehedi Hasan, 9 Mashrafe Mortaza (capt), 10 Mustafizur Rahman, 11 Taskin Ahmed
Pitch and conditions
In three completed List A matches this year, the average first-innings score at the Hagley Oval has been 272. There's virtually no chance of rain, with a high of 20-degree Celsius on match day.
Stats and trivia
  • Both Bangladesh (3) and New Zealand (7) have won and lost an equal number of ODIs in 2016 so far.
  • Bangladesh's only international win in New Zealand was against Scotland in the 2015 World Cup.
Quotes
"They have been getting better and better every year, and certainly at home, they are extremely tough to beat. They have turned over most oppositions that have come their way in their own conditions, and they are getting more and more experienced playing around the world, so it'll be a tough challenge and we will have to be playing our best cricket."
New Zealand captain Kane Williamson

Queen to miss Christmas Day church service 'due to cold'


Royals leaving for churchImage copyrightPA
Image captionMembers of the Royal Family arrived for a private service without the Queen

The Queen will not attend church on Christmas Day because she is still suffering from a heavy cold.
Buckingham Palace said she would stay indoors to help her recover but added that she would still participate in the family's Christmas Day celebrations.
Prince Philip, Prince Charles, Prince Harry and other royals are attending a service at Sandringham, the Queen's Norfolk estate.
Crowds have already gathered in expectation of their attendance.
The Queen and Prince Philip began their Christmas break this week one day late, postponing their trip because they were both suffering from colds.
They flew from Buckingham Palace to the Norfolk estate by helicopter on Thursday, having missed a train on Wednesday.

The Queen leaving the service at Sandringham in 2015Image copyrightREUTERS
Image captionThe Queen leaving the service at Sandringham in 2015

A palace spokesman said: "Her Majesty the Queen will not attend church at Sandringham this morning.
"The Queen continues to recover from a heavy cold and will stay indoors to assist with her recovery.
"Her Majesty will participate in the Royal Family Christmas celebrations during the day."
Prince William and the Duchess of Cambridge are celebrating Christmas with the Middleton family in Bucklebury, Berkshire.

German evacuation for WW2 bomb disposal in Augsburg


An emergency medical vehicle passes a roadblock in AugsburgImage copyrightEPA
Image captionAn emergency medical vehicle passes a roadblock in Augsburg, as bomb disposal experts move in.

More than 50,000 residents from the southern German city of Augsburg are being evacuated from their homes so that an operation to defuse a World War Two bomb can get under way on Sunday.
It is the country's biggest evacuation for an unexploded bomb since the end of the war.
The 1.8-tonne British explosive is thought to have come from a 1944 air raid, which destroyed the old town.
It was uncovered during construction work.
Police say they do not know how long the operation will take.
The BBC's Europe regional editor Mike Sanders said the city authorities are taking no chances, and are evacuating everyone with a 1.5km (0.6 mile) radius of the bomb.
The authorities are confident that most people affected can stay with friends or family, but a number of schools and sports halls have been opened as shelters for those in need.
Most Germans celebrating Christmas open their presents and have their main festive meal on 24 December, rather than Christmas Day.

Map

Other WW2 bombs recently discovered in Germany

Russian military plane crashes in Black Sea near Sochi

A Russian military plane with 92 people on board has crashed into the Black Sea, Russia's defence ministry says.
The plane disappeared from radar two minutes after taking off from the resort of Sochi at 05:25 (02:25 GMT). Debris and one body have been found, with no reports of any survivors.
The defence ministry said the Tu-154 was carrying soldiers, 64 members of the famed Alexandrov military music ensemble, and nine reporters.
It was flying to Latakia in Syria.
The flight originated in Moscow and had landed at Adler airport in Sochi for refuelling.
The defence ministry said in a statement: "Fragments of the Tu-154 plane of the Russian defence ministry were found 1.5km (one mile) from the Black Sea coast of the city of Sochi at a depth of 50 to 70m (165-230ft)."

Who are the Alexandrov Ensemble?


Members of the Alexandrov Ensemble performing in Paris in 2015Image copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image captionMembers of the Alexandrov Ensemble performing in Paris in 2015

  • Alexandrov Ensemble is the official choir of the Russian armed forces
  • It was founded in 1928 during the Soviet era
  • The group also includes an orchestra and dancers
  • It takes its name from its first director, Alexander Vasilyevich Alexandrov, who wrote the music to the national anthem of the Soviet Union
  • Holds the right to use the term Red Army Choir, although the interior ministry's MVD Ensemble also uses it
  • Listen to the Alexandrov Ensemble here

An audio recording played on Russian media and said to be of the final conversation between air traffic controllers and the plane reveals no sign of any difficulties being faced by the crew.
Voices remain calm until the plane disappears and the controllers try in vain to re-establish contact.
Reports from the area said flying conditions were favourable.
President Vladimir Putin has ordered a state commission to look into the crash and sent his condolences to the families and friends of the victims.

Elizaveta Glinka with President Vladimir Putin, 8 Dec 2016Image copyrightAP
Image captionFair Aid charity head Elizaveta Glinka, seen here with President Putin, was on the plane

The defence ministry has published a passenger list (in Russian), showing that 64 of those on board were from the Alexandrov Ensemble, including its director, Valery Khalilov.
There were nine journalists, eight soldiers, two civil servants and eight crew members.
Also on board was Elizaveta Glinka, known as Dr Liza, the executive director of the Fair Aid charity and the inaugural winner of Russia's state prize for achievements in human rights.
Mr Konashenkov said the plane was carrying passengers to a New Year's performance for Russian troops deployed in Syria.
The performance was scheduled to take place at Russia's Hmeimim air base, near Latakia.
Russia has been carrying out air strikes in support of Syrian government forces who are battling rebels opposed to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.


Tupolev-154Image copyrightAFP

Tupolev-154: Russian workhorse

  • The backbone of Soviet and Russian airlines for decades
  • Three engines, narrow-bodied and medium range
  • Designed in the mid-60s, came into service in 1972 and was modernised in 1986 with new engines and equipment
  • Has seen 39 fatal accidents, although few were due to technical problems. Many were as a result of difficult weather conditions and poor air traffic control. A few were lost in conflicts including in Lebanon, Georgia and Afghanistan
  • Phased out since the turn of the century. Aeroflot retired its fleet in 2010. Only about 50 in service worldwide

In April 2010, a Tu-154 plane crashed in Smolensk, western Russia, killing all 96 people on board, including Polish President Lech Kaczynski.
A Tu-154, operated by Siberian Airlines, was shot down over the Black Sea in October 2001, killing 78 people.
The plane was travelling from Tel Aviv in Israel to Novosibirsk in Russia, and most of the passengers were Israeli.




The Ukrainian military initially denied involvement but officials later admitted the plane could have been hit accidentally during a training exercise.